Bank of Canada holds policy rate at 2¾% in April 2025
The major shift in direction of US trade policy and the unpredictability of tariffs have increased uncertainty, diminished prospects for economic growth, and raised inflation expectations. Pervasive uncertainty makes it unusually challenging to project GDP growth and inflation in Canada and globally. Instead, the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR) presents two scenarios that explore different paths for US trade policy. In the first scenario, uncertainty is high but tariffs are limited in scope. Canadian growth weakens temporarily and inflation remains around the 2% target. In the second scenario, a protracted trade war causes Canada’s economy to fall into recession this year and inflation rises temporarily above 3% next year. Many other trade policy scenarios are possible. There is also an unusual degree of uncertainty about the economic outcomes within any scenario, since the magnitude and speed of the shift in US trade policy are unprecedented.
For more details please visit: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/2025/04/fad-press-release-2025-04-16/
Dates | Target |
---|---|
January 29 | 3.00% |
March 12 | 2.75% |
April 16 | 2.75% |
June 4 | Interest rate Announcement |
July 30 | Interest rate Announcement |
September 17 | Interest rate Announcement |
October 29 | Interest rate Announcement |
December 10 | Interest rate Announcement |
Note. Rates are subject to change
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